Given internal migration, high population density and a healthcare sector dominated by the private sector, India’s low number of COVID-19 cases is questionable, says an observer.

People queue standing in circles drawn with chalk to maintain safe distance as they wait to buy medicine during a 21-day nationwide lockdown to limit the spreading of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), in Ahmedabad, India, March 26, 2020. REUTERS/Amit Dave

SYDNEY: As of Mar 31, there were over 1,200 cases and 30 deaths of COVID-19 reported by the Indian Ministry of Health and Family Welfare. The cases were unequally distributed across the states with Maharashtra and Kerala recording the highest numbers.

India has an estimated population of 1.35 billion, making it home to 17.5 per cent of the world’s population, but has less than 1 per cent of the world’s COVID-19 cases. These numbers could reflect that India has been successful in combating the pandemic.

But there is criticism that cases are under-reported because of the unilateral reporting from government centres.

READ: Commentary: Restrictions on movements in some Southeast Asian countries to fight COVID-19 have been patchy, even scary

QUESTIONABLE NUMBERS

India’s relatively low number of COVID-19 cases could be because of its border control practice of screening passengers. Measures including early closure of borders for air passengers from affected countries and barring visitors from selected countries might have helped control the spread of the pandemic.

India also has a lower rate of air traffic compared to China and the United States. India carried 4 per cent of all air passengers in 2014 compared to China’s 14.5 per cent and the United States’ 21.1 per cent. The government and media’s initiative in spreading awareness about the virus, including hygiene practices, might also have contributed to these low numbers.

READ: India’s coronavirus cases tick up despite immense lockdown

But the majority of screening has been done in airports and testing is only done in government centres for symptomatic cases and those with a history of travel to foreign countries.

In a country with large internal migration, high population density and where a large proportion of healthcare is provided by the private sector, these numbers are questionable. The government health sector usually serves the poor and lower middle class section of society. Most cases discovered are among those who have a travel history, mostly from the middle and upper class.

READ: Commentary: India is facing twin economic and political crises

MORE POLICY MEASURES NEEDED

India is now moving to stage three of the epidemic curve and a country-wide self-isolation for 21 days has been imposed. Expansion of testing to asymptomatic cases is needed to understand the full scale of the pandemic.

Outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), in New Delhi

Homeless people wait for food, during a 21-day nationwide lockdown to limit the spreading of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), in New Delhi, India, March 30, 2020. REUTERS/Danish Siddiqui

READ: India says no plan to extend COVID-19 lockdown as poor struggle

Increased policy measures will be critical to contain the spread.

Public health expenditure in India is low – just above 1 per cent of GDP. The demand for healthcare is fulfilled by the private sector (contributing to 4.8 per cent of GDP).

Nearly 80 and 60 per cent of individuals seek outpatient and inpatient care through the private sector, respectively. The private sector contributes to an estimated 74 and 60 per cent of hospitals and hospital beds respectively. More than 80 per cent of doctors and 70 per cent of nurses and midwives are employed in the private sector.

These statistics show that participation from the private sector is crucial. However, there is a mistrust between the public and private sectors when collaborating on health programs and engagement has been below par. The government’s efforts to engage the private sector in disease surveillance programs have been met with little enthusiasm and criticism in the way private providers were handled.

The COVID-19 pandemic is an opportunity for the government to engage the private sector as testing is expanded to those without travel history and asymptomatic cases. In the event of suspected community transmission, the Prime Minister’s insurance scheme, where more than 19,000 private health hospitals have been empanelled to expand healthcare access, will be utilised well.

READ: COVID-19: ‘Super-spreader’ guru puts Indian villages on high alert

READ: Commentary: Five considerations for a clear-minded coronavirus response

The most widely used law regarding pandemics in India was enacted during British rule. The Epidemic Diseases Act, 1897 has been enforced for COVID-19 but has outdated scope to handle emergencies of this scale and complexity.

For instance, most of the Act constitutes border restriction in water-based ports which were a common mode of transport 70 years ago. Modes of transport have changed widely and there have been no amendments to reflect this.

Four other legal frameworks are also currently in place but a recent review found that they are not sufficient to cover the necessary aspects of pandemic management. A draft Public Health Bill is still under consideration.

The parliament and law makers should utilise this opportunity to discuss and pass this bill without delay to empower the state and central governments to take necessary actions to curtail the pandemic.

LISTEN: What’s behind the different approaches countries are taking towards COVID-19?

Lockdown amid a coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in New Delhi

A woman walks along a near-empty street during a lockdown amid a coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in New Delhi, India, Mar 25, 2020. (Photo: Reuters/Adnan Abidi) 

The current efforts of the Indian government to contain the COVID-19 pandemic have been fruitful so far but there are fundamental challenges ahead in health infrastructure. The greatest of those challenges include the engagement of the private health sector and the implementation of updated laws governing public health.

The COVID-19 situation provides an opportunity to improve Indian healthcare and future-proof pandemic laws, and in turn flatten the epidemic curve.

BOOKMARK THIS: Our comprehensive coverage of the novel coronavirus and its developments

Download our app or subscribe to our Telegram channel for the latest updates on the coronavirus outbreak: https://cna.asia/telegram

Padmanesan Narasimhan is a lecturer at the School of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of New South Wales. This commentary first appeared on East Asia Forum.

Source Article